Wednesday, 6 May 2009

ENO TRAP FODNE

On another planet, that's what I hear you say when you look at the title of this blog, but you guessed it right? [END OF PART ONE backwards]

As the UK brings out the troops from Iraq and as fighting continues in Afghanistan and elsewhere one has to say what next? What happens now, in reality, what happens now?

The cost of imposing democracy on Iraq, which has not yet worked for the people of Iraq, they have not embraced the westernisation of democratic compliancy as one might have hoped, has been immense, both to those imposing and to those being imposed upon [see Stephen M Walt as he asks, "What is the political formula by which Iraq will be governed now that Saddam's brutal dictatorship is gone?" [and the Iraqis are left to 'govern'].

The civilian death toll is staggering and will continue to increase I fear. Of course the deaths of the armed forces personnel, and other workers trying to provide services such as infrastructure and social utilities, is just as sad and very tragic and must surely be regrettable. But in the argument for truth of the whys and wherefores I ask what next?

What next must be up to the people of Iraq. The USA still has troops there, with the proviso they will be 'pulling out', eventually, sooner than later; with US combat forces due to leave Iraq by August 2010 and all US troops should be out of the country by the start of 2012 under the US-Iraq agreement (Reuters India). How will the Iraqis deploy their 'democracy' when they are finally left to govern their own country? NET NEWS DAILY gives a view that is less than hopeful.

What has the western invasion achieved that will be of lasting benefit to the Iraqi people? There will be many debates and discussions around this question. It will not be what we think that was good or bad about the invasion and the conflict and the outcome, but what have we left behind for the Iraqis to embrace? For if they embrace a different regime from the one we hope they should embrace, will we be going back again to liberate them, either because they might again be seen to be developing and thus deploying to have weapons of mass destruction, okay for us but not for them, or because they have been taken over by a dictatorial government that we do not agree with; human rights issues not withstanding, for surely there are other dictators who have, during and after Saddam's time, who have been, and still are being, more aggressive in their anti-human rights action towards their people, but we have not intervened by invasion. Or will it sadly be all about oil and the control of who has access to such a costly commodity, and therefore depending on OUR relationship with the Iraqi government of the day, we will either ignore abuse of human rights or invade because of the commodity Iraq has?

I have to ask the question that if Iraq had been a parched desert land like some of the African countries for instance, would the west have gone out to 'protect itself' from perceived weapons of mass destruction, or in the proclamation of freeing people from oppression, would the west have invaded and toppled that oppressive government? I hope the answer to my question is not the one I think it is.

Of course the above is over simplistic, there was contingency of planned cooperation, we did not invade Iraq blindly, the opposing parties to Saddam were willing and able to cooperate with the armed invasion, and the resulting restructuring of Iraq through the hard work of the Iraqi people, the foreign nationals who went out there to work, and the armed forces personnel who helped set up and worked towards the building of schools and hospitals must be seen as a good thing. But what next? What will happen in OWT TRAP? [PART TWO backwards]

Why have I written END OF PART ONE and PART TWO backwards (eno trap fodne & owt trap)? Because I believe the west has been backwards in its dealing with Iraq and Afghanistan.That will no doubt be the continuing stumbling block, the cause and affect of our relationship with Iraq, if not the legacy, we will be leaving behind in Iraq.

You views are appreciated, but remember to be civil if you disagree with above views, or if dialogue pursues, if you disagree with comments posted on this blog.

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